Ian Machado Garry vs Islam Makhachev: Can Garry Pull Off the Upset? (2026)

Let's talk about the highly anticipated UFC showdown between Ian Machado Garry and Islam Makhachev, a match that has the potential to be a game-changer for Garry's career. But is he up against an insurmountable challenge?

The Challenge Ahead

Garry, a rising star in the UFC, is about to face the toughest test of his career. Islam Makhachev, the current pound-for-pound king, is on an incredible 16-fight win streak, and he's the favorite to win on Saturday night. It's a daunting task for any fighter, but especially for Garry, who, despite his skills, might be facing the wrong opponent at the wrong time.

Championship Potential, Unfortunate Timing

Retired UFC welterweight Matt Brown believes Garry has the makings of a champion. He's praised Garry's skills for a long time and sees championship material in him. However, Brown also recognizes that Garry's path to victory against Makhachev is narrow and filled with obstacles.

"He's got the goods, no doubt. But Makhachev is a brick wall, and Garry might just be in the wrong place at the wrong time."

Brown compares Garry's situation to a potential fight against Jack Della Maddalena, which he believes would have been a more even matchup. Makhachev, on the other hand, is an entirely different beast.

Strategy and the Grappler's Advantage

The key to Garry's success lies in his ability to stop Makhachev's takedowns. Makhachev's wrestling skills are legendary, and if Garry can't keep the fight standing, he might be in trouble. While Garry is an elite striker, he's not known for knockout power, which means he'll have to outpoint Makhachev for the entire fight - a tall order.

"It's a striker versus grappler scenario, but with a twist. Both fighters have skills in both areas, but Makhachev's wrestling is just on another level. It's hard to imagine anyone catching up to that unless they've been wrestling their whole life."

Even on the feet, Garry might have an advantage, but Makhachev's striking skills shouldn't be underestimated. He can hold his own and potentially thrive in those exchanges, especially since he doesn't have to worry about Garry's power.

The Perfect Storm for Makhachev

Makhachev is a nightmare matchup for Garry. Brown believes Garry's only chance is to put on a flawless performance, which is incredibly difficult, especially in a five-round fight. Any mistake could be costly, and Makhachev is the type of fighter who capitalizes on those mistakes.

"Islam doesn't have to be perfect. He just has to be himself. Garry, on the other hand, has to be flawless. One mistake, and it could be over."

While Garry has the potential to become a champion, this fight might be a step too far, at least for now. It's a fascinating matchup, and one that highlights the fine line between success and defeat in the world of MMA.

Ian Machado Garry vs Islam Makhachev: Can Garry Pull Off the Upset? (2026)
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